Investment Committee Commentary

Iran War Drags Down Stocks in March

The escalation of conflict in Iran drove a sharp rise in global oil prices during March, pressuring equity markets across the board. Major indexes moved lower, with the S&P 500 declining 5.1%, the Nasdaq falling 4.8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 5.2% for the month. These numbers could have been worse for March, but on the 31st markets rallied into quarter end, including a 2.9% gain in the S&P 500. Much of the volatility was driven by low probability narratives surrounding the conflict. Fear driven swings pushed markets lower as investors attempted to price in uncertain geopolitical outcomes. Periods like this are not unusual. Geopolitical shocks tend to be short lived in the eyes of the market, and as

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